Tag Archives: Technical analysis

Silver Forecast August 22, 2012, Technical Analysis

Posted August 22,
By FX Empire Analyst – Christopher

The silver markets had another bullish session on Tuesday, to continue the breakout for Monday. We still see the $30 level as a significant resistance area, but it should be said that we have finally broken out of the very tight range we had been in for over six weeks. Now that this is happened, we suspect that the $28 level will act as support.

We believe that silver prices will be much higher as we go into the fall and that there are two different distinct ways to play this market. The first way, which of course is a more aggressive one, is to simply buy silver now. However, if you’re going to do this you need to understand that there could be a lot of choppiness over the next dollar or two. Alternately, if you are a bit more conservative, you may want to wait until the $30 level is broken on a daily close. This would be the last vestiges of this consolidation area and should signal much higher prices.

As for selling silver, we are not keen to do so at this moment in time and would need to see a break down below the $25 level in order to feel comfortable doing so. Because of this, and the unlikely event that will happen, we really do not see selling silver in our future right now. Needless to say, there will be bumps along the road but we feel that this market should continue to thrive.

One of the biggest reasons it will continue to gain is that central banks around the world are engaging in monetary easing. This drives demand for hard currencies such as silver and gold, and we think that’s banks will be easing for the foreseeable future. This is the case; precious metals will do quite well.

We do think that gold will outperform silver however, won a nice balance of both in your portfolio should really begin to help you over the next couple months. Silver does have an industrial component to it, so as economic activity picks up; silver could get a boost there as well.

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Pitfalls of Silver Price Technical Analysis

by Dr. Jeffrey Lewis, Silver Seek:

Technical analysis of the financial and commodity markets has been used effectively by traders to analyze price movements of commodities and stocks for hundreds of years. Despite being one of the most effective methods for forecasting future price movements, technical analysis can break down and give conflicting signals when certain events occur.

This seems especially true in the silver market, where a number of factors have changed that precious metal’s trading dynamic. Reading silver’s future can be more accurately done by interpreting a combination of factors, which include price action and participant positioning.

Latest Trends in the Silver Market

As previously mentioned, a number of different factors are contributing to price movements in the silver market. To a person unfamiliar with recent developments, these factors might make market moves appear counter intuitive.

For example, large commercial traders are currently positioned for higher prices, while recent downward price momentum has hedge funds and speculators adding to the downside price pressure.

Read More @ SilverSeek.com

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CONSPIRACIES, SHILLS & COT SILVER

by SRSrocco, Silver Doctors:

 

 

A FEW WORDS ON CONSPIRACIES
If you go to any local courtroom and sit and watch a full day worth of court cases, chances are you will witness several cases based on a “CONSPIRACY”. Furthermore I would like to list several well known large cases of where CONSPIRACIES have been present:
ENRON. WORLD COM. BERNIE MADOFF. MF GLOBAL. AIG. FANNIE MAE.
and the list goes on and on…

There is no way these organizations were able to have these sorts of HIGH STOCK VALUES without some sort of CONSPIRACY to manipulate figures, laws and regulations. If a professional trader believes the WATERFALL sell-off was due to technical analysis… well, there is nothing I can say… can I??
Today, if one is not well understood in CONSPIRACY THEORY, then you are in fact……INSANE. I gather if Doc & Turd are Conspiracy Nuts so must be ERIC SPROTT & JIM SINCLAIR… along with a large list of others. I wonder if JACK DANIELS is a billionaire like that Conspiracy nut Eric Sprott?? (sarcasm added)

Read More @ SilverDoctors.com

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Liquidation could send Silver down to $18

by Ben Traynor, Bullion Street:

London Gold market report

Wholesale market gold prices traded as low as $1560 an ounce Friday morning, before recovering some ground by lunchtime in London, while European stock markets were also down and commodities were broadly flat.

Silver prices meantime sank to a 2012 low at $26.64 an ounce – a 7.2% drop on last week’s close. “We believe a break of $26.00 has the ability to trigger liquidation of silver with it looking for $18.00,” says the latest technical analysis note from bullion bank Scotia Mocatta.

Heading into the weekend, gold prices by Friday lunchtime looked set for their biggest weekly fall since the first week of March, having fallen 3.7% since the start of Monday’s trading.

On the currency markets, the Euro ticked lower against the Dollar, hitting its lowest level this week. “A decline in the Euro may have contributed to a drop in gold prices,” says HSBC precious metals analyst James Steel.

Read More @ BullionStreet.com

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Silver heading down to $26 an ounce before a huge year-end rebound?

Trying to tip the direction of the most volatile of metals is a futile task and we would never advise anybody to attempt to trade the silver market. Even JP Morgan is going to get caught out with its massive short position one day, and any idea that these are the true masters of the universe is surely buried by the $2 billion loss admitted last week.

However, if you are considering the establishment of a silver position you still need to decide a precise time to buy, you have no option but to do that. So on those grounds only you do have to think about the immediate price outlook and make your best guess.

Technical analysis

Bob Kirtley of silver-prices.net notes: ‘Taking a quick look at the chart we can see that the 50 day moving average didn’t make the cross over of the 200 dma, that we were hoping for and so the pressure remains on silver prices. The drop below $30 that we have alluded to has now happened. We see this as at or close to a possible buying opportunity, however it could go as low as $26, so it could be worth the wait for slightly better prices.

‘Also note that the RSI has dipped below the ‘30′ level which is usually a sign that silver is oversold and that a bounce could be on the cards. This is not always the case and is not totally reliable, but it does suggest that the selling is overdone at this point.’

That is the technical view from the charts. ArabianMoney is very bullish on the long-term fundamentals for silver (click here). But we have always viewed a short-term sell-off along with just about everything else as a high probability. This seems to be where we sit today.

Equity option?

Like Bob Kirtley we also think that the mining sector equities could be a major opportunity in this sell-off and the ArabianMoney newsletter (subscribe here) has some neat ideas on how best to profit from this.

For as the printing of money by global central banks cranks up even further in the aftermath of a major correction then the only two currencies that they will be unable to print will be gold and silver. Quantitative easing is not alchemy!

Source

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Yamada – Gold & Silver at Critical Points in This Cycle

By Louise Yamada Technical Research Advisors KingWorldNews:

With gold trading near the $1,640 level and silver around $30, today King World News is pleased to shares with readers a piece of legendary technical analyst Louise Yamada’s “Technical Perspectives” report. This information is not available to the public and we are grateful to Louise for sharing her incredible work with KWN readers globally.

Read it Now @ KingWorldNews.com


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